Global Living Reimagined

2025 Global Living Outlook

The current housing supply shortage and affordability crisis is very real—and it’s also global. By Hines' estimates, the global housing market across a group of key developed economies that Hines Research analyzes tells us that we need a net 6.5 million housing units to meet current demand. This lack of supply has caused a global affordability crisis, putting many major markets out of reach for potential homebuyers. One important and potentially unexpected outcome has been a pronounced global proclivity to rent: Over 80% of households in the developed economies we analyzed were in country markets showing clear momentum for renting over buying1 .

Against this backdrop, we see some important opportunities emerging for global real estate investors:

  • Overall, the traditional apartment (multifamily) sector offers compelling performance attributes globally as the popularity of renting trends upward. A shortage is calling for new supply, and in Europe and Asia, the size of the institutional quality and fit-for-purpose market trails the U.S. by such a large margin that catching up is a powerful force behind new development. Meanwhile, unique demographic and market trends support region-specific strategies.

What factors are transforming the global living sector?

  • As a growing population of U.S. renters ages into their prime child-rearing years, we are seeing increased demand in the single-family rental (SFR) market. We observe similar trends occurring globally as well.
  • There’s a specific opportunity forming in Europe's student housing sector, as that population segment continues to climb—along with rent growth in locations where they settle.
  • In Japan, we see the potential for continuing attractive returns in the for-rent space, now driven by a secular shift in rent growth rather than the cap-rate compression experienced in previous years.
  • South Korea is another geography we believe is poised to evolve into an institutionally investible market.

Current conditions have fueled momentum toward renting. See the unique trends in each region driving the living sector.

Global Living Case Studies

Northlight at Edge-on-Hudson
North America

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aparto Milan Giovenale
Europe

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CAVANA+ Azabudai
Asia

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  • U.S. home prices have never been more unaffordable

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  • International students are spurring rent growth in student accommodation sector

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  • Japan could experience convincing rent growth and stronger values ahead

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1 Sources: Oxford Economics, Eurostat, U.S. Census Bureau, Statistics Canada, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Statistics Korea, Hong Kong Census and Statistics Department, Statistical Bureau of Japan, and Hines Research. As of 4Q 2024 but data availability differs by country. Note that the analysis generally covers the period from 2010 to 2023, except for Japan (2013-2018), Korea (2016-2023), Canada (2011-2021), and Australia (2010-2020). For the stats provided, we had to assume that the homeownership rate for those three stayed the same from the last datapoint available through 2023. The countries we analyzed included: Spain, the Netherlands, Italy, Sweden, France, Germany, Denmark, United Kingdom, United States, Canada, Australia, South Korea, Japan, and Hong Kong.

Disclaimer

The content herein and in the report is provided for informational purposes only. Nothing above or in the report constitutes investment, legal, or tax advice or recommendations. Such content should not be relied upon as a basis for making an investment decision and is not an offer of advisory services or an offer to invest in any product or asset class. It should not be assumed that any investment in an asset class described herein will be profitable. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice. Opinions or beliefs expressed in these materials may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Certain information above and in the report has been obtained from third-party sources. Hines has not independently verified such information.